Predict the outcome of men's tennis match play at events throughout the 2026 ATP season.
Each match that begins will resolve YES if the FIRST player listed advances to the next round, either by win or walkover. The match will resolve NO if the SECOND player listed advances (again either by win or walkover). A match will resolve N/A if it does not take place (that is, if a player withdraws before the match begins).
Example:
๐ช๐ธ C. Alcaraz (1) v. ๐ฎ๐น L. Nardi [Doha ATP 500 - Round 2]
Will resolve YES if Alcaraz, seeded first, advances by win or walkover. Will resolve NO if Nardi advances instead.
Won't always have these descriptions, but if they occur, here's what they mean:
(1) โ Seeded first (and so on)
(Q) โ Qualifier
(LL) โ Lucky Loser (lost in qualifying, but made the main draw by another player's withdrawal)
(WC) โ Wild Card (gained main draw entry at the discretion of the tournament director)
Will try to leave some limit orders up prior to the match start time for the day, but then will typically close betting until the matches are completed.
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@traders miami is shaping up to be an interesting tournament! with alcaraz's loss this afternoon, the top half of the draw is wide open. will we see an all-american semifinal between fritz and paul? tomorrow's matches up now with limit orders!
@polymathematic not just alcaraz but a lot of other upsets as well...shelton, de minaur, bublik are gone, and on the womens side swiatek and paolini are already gone ๐ญ
@traders oh, and if you want to trade directly on the winner of indian wells, i've got a market for that here: https://manifold.markets/polymathematic/who-will-win-the-2026-bnp-paribas-o
@traders Indian Wells is here! The entire field is back in action. Round 1 matches up now with some limit orders.
@traders Dallas 250 matches up now. still working to catch up on rotterdam. also have an individual market on the winner of Dallas. be sure to check it out!
@traders wow! the old man did it. into a grand slam final for the first time since Wimbledon 2024, and the first time in Australia since 2023. does he have one more win in him? limit orders up!
@polymathematic also, heartbreak to Zverev for what would have been the comeback and win of his life. I raged-quit the stream after his second set collapse, but glad to see that he fought back
@benmanns i think you're right on djokovic sinner, but i've gotta hedge a huge sinner position on other markets :)
@traders and then there were four! it's fitting that in an australian open so chalky, we're left (courtesy of some awfully bad luck on musetti's part) with the top four seeds in the semis. limit orders up through tomorrow night.