MANIFOLD
Which Men's Tennis player will win at least one Masters 1000 title in 2026?
5
Ṁ350Ṁ867
Dec 31
97%
Jannik Sinner
97%
Carlos Alcaraz
73%
Other
35%
Alexander Zverev
35%
Novak Djokovic
28%
Taylor Fritz
20%
Lorenzo Musetti
20%
Casper Ruud
20%
Alex de Minaur
17%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
15%
Ben Shelton
12%
Alexander Bublik
9%
Jack Draper
7%
Learner Tien

Resolution Criteria

The market resolves YES for each player who wins at least one ATP Masters 1000 title during the 2026 calendar year. The 2026 ATP Tour season features nine ATP Masters 1000 tournaments, with the first being played in Indian Wells in March 2026 and the last being played in Paris in November 2026. Resolution will be determined by official ATP Tour records at https://www.atptour.com/en/tournaments.

Background

After the four grand slam tournaments and the year-end ATP Finals, the Masters 1000 tournaments are considered the next most prestigious to win as a male tennis professional. In 2025, Alcaraz claimed three Masters 1000 crowns in Monte-Carlo, Rome and Cincinnati, while Sinner owns the fifth-most Masters 1000 titles among active players with five, with only Djokovic (40), Alcaraz (8), Zverev (7) and Medvedev (6) owning more. In early 2026 results, Jack Draper won Indian Wells, Jakub Menšík won Miami, Alcaraz won Monte-Carlo and Rome, Ben Shelton won Canada, and Alcaraz won Cincinnati.

Market context
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