Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?
150
925Ṁ76k
2026
24%
Hong Wang
22%
Jacob Tsimerman
11%
John Pardon
9%
Will Sawin
8%
Yu Deng
8%
Alexander Efimov
6%
Other
3%
Jack Thorne
3%
Sam Raskin
2%
Julian Sahasrabudhe

Every person who wins resolves to 25% (assuming it's 4 people who split it equally, in general we split it).

It's very silly to bet people over 25%. In principle the Fields Medal could be awarded to fewer than four people but that's unlikely.

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