Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if the US federal government invokes the Insurrection Act at any time between January 1, 2022 to January 1, 2025. No additional criteria are necessary for this question to resolve positively.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.