Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date?
24
แน700แน4.5kDec 31
65%
December 31
52%
November 30
51%
October 31
50%
August 31
50%
September 30
45%
July 31
37%
June 30
32%
May 31
27%
April 30
21%
March 31
17%
February 28
10%
January 31
7%
January 30
7%
January 29
5%
January 28
1.8%
January 26
1%
January 27
1%
January 25
All answers end at 11:59 PM ET on each listed date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Trump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
50% chance
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
68% chance
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act by April 30, 2026?
36% chance
Will the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?
If Trump invokes the Insurrection Act in his second term, will the military be directed against protestors?
92% chance
Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?
52% chance
When will Trump be impeached next?
In what year will Trump be impeached AND removed from office?
People are also trading
Related questions
Trump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
50% chance
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
68% chance
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act by April 30, 2026?
36% chance
Will the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?
If Trump invokes the Insurrection Act in his second term, will the military be directed against protestors?
92% chance
Trump challenges War Powers Resolution before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?
52% chance
When will Trump be impeached next?
In what year will Trump be impeached AND removed from office?