Will Labour announce a leadership election before 1st June 2026?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ196May 31
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market resolves YES if the Labour Party announces a leadership election (OR Kier Starmer announces his intention to resign) before 1 June 2026. Resolution will be verified through official Labour Party statements or major UK news sources (BBC, The Guardian, Sky News, etc.).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Which party will win the most council seats in the May 2026 UK local elections?
https://manifold.markets/lostmyhippo/which-party-will-win-the-most-counc?r=bG9zdG15aGlwcG8
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Labour announce a leadership election before [date]
Will the Green Party or Labour next have a leadership election, after 30th April 2026?
Who will be leader of Welsh Labour following the 2026 Welsh Labour leadership election?
When will the next Labour leadership election happen?
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
25% chance
Will Labour or Reform have the second leadership election between them, after 12th April 2026?
Will labour top a national/GB poll for the next UK election by the end of 2026?
40% chance
Will Reform or Labour next have a leadership election, after 12th April 2026?
Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election?
70% chance