Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100? | Manifold

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

30

Ṁ1kṀ3.2k

2099

55%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Same as this Market exept for 2100 https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10880/china-to-invade-taiwan-before-2030/

Market context

China Taiwan potential conflict

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Does this market resolve early NO in the event of annexation without an invasion?

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