MANIFOLD
Will @jim outperform @Bayesian in forecast2026.ai?
30
Ṁ1kṀ13k
Dec 31
15%
chance

Resolves as 'yes' if @jim outperforms @Bayesian on 2026 AI Forecasting Survey

forecast2026.ai

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opened a Ṁ200 YES at 16% order

Bayesian's Predictions

Jim's Predictions

@jim it won’t even be slightly close

@Bayesian agreed

@bens warning you that some people might suggest that your 15% 'yes' limit order is unwise

opened a Ṁ50,000 NO at 22% order

please someone fill this or tell me at what price you would fill this

@Bayesian I can't fill that now that I've seen his answers, I don't really know how the scoring works but 87% remote work automation and some others are totally unfeasible imo

@Gen 🤫

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