Resolves YES if, by December 31, 2027, a US federal law is signed that imposes binding requirements (testing, reporting, licensing or liability) specifically on developers of frontier or general-purpose AI models. Executive orders, agency guidance, state laws and laws that only fund research or create advisory bodies do not count.
Background: in September 2026 I asked an AI for its ten-year forecast, best case and worst case. Its 2027 worst-case list included "Hearings are held, nothing passes; lobbying money beats public concern." I am making a market for each checkable point so the forecast can be scored. The full forecast is free: The Forecast: 2027 to 2036, best case and worst case
1,000@jayhumelexier you used the description from /jayhumelexier/will-the-us-pass-a-federal-law-with
and could you change the title to either "Will a paid robotaxi service be available in [...]" (one service covers all 25 cities) or "Will paid robotaxi services be available in [...]" (each of the 25 cities have at least one robotaxi service)?