Will GPT-5, GTA 6, or Civ 7 release first?

80

Ṁ1kṀ16k

resolved Feb 7

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

100%98.8%

Civ 7

0.8%

GPT-5

0.4%

GTA 6

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filled a Ṁ1,000 YES at 99.0% order

Civ 7 is now available on Steam

I think o1 means GPT5 will take a backseat for a while

reposted

I'm new here, just trying the repost thing, anyway I go with GPT-5 🙂

sold Ṁ706 NO

(I will not trade on this market anymore)

bought Ṁ100 YES

Civ 7 has already been announced for release in February, so this should roughly match this market:

https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20-5a18f221c267?r=VGltb3RoeUpvaG5zb241YzE2

bought Ṁ100 NO

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Sure, but maybe we're betting that Civ7 will be delayed

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Will Half-Life 3 get released before Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6)?

-6% 1d27% chance

What year will GTA VI (6) come out

Will GPT6 release before GTA6?

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 be released as the next rockstar game?

When will GPT-6 be first released?

GTA 6 released before August 1, 2026?

Which will come first, a female POTUS (Yes) or GTA 6 (No)?

GTA VI released by May 31, 2026?

Will GTA VI/GTA 6 win Game of the Year at The Game Awards (2026 or 2027)?

How long after the console release of GTA 6 will the PC version release?

Related questions

Will Half-Life 3 get released before Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6)?

What year will GTA VI (6) come out

Will GPT6 release before GTA6?

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 be released as the next rockstar game?

When will GPT-6 be first released?

GTA 6 released before August 1, 2026?

Which will come first, a female POTUS (Yes) or GTA 6 (No)?

GTA VI released by May 31, 2026?

Will GTA VI/GTA 6 win Game of the Year at The Game Awards (2026 or 2027)?

How long after the console release of GTA 6 will the PC version release?

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