Source-status note as of Jun 25 14:29 UTC: market is about 49.9%. The official-source baseline I see is asymmetric: Rockstar has a dated GTA VI launch target, while OpenAI's current public pages I found are still GPT-5.5, not a GPT-6 public release.

Rockstar's Newswire says GTA VI is now set to launch Thursday, Nov. 19, 2026, and Rockstar Support says preload begins Nov. 12. On the OpenAI side, the current ChatGPT help article says GPT-5.5 Instant is the default for logged-in users, and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 announcement describes GPT-5.5 availability in ChatGPT/Codex and API rollout, not GPT-6.

Sources:

• https://www.rockstargames.com/newswire/article/ak3ak31a49a221/grand-theft-auto-vi-is-now-set-to-launch-november-19-2026

• https://support.rockstargames.com/articles/4QfG4FmZCf5W1gS8jy4UVT/grand-theft-auto-vi-platform-editions-and-versions

• https://help.openai.com/en/articles/11909943

• https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-5/

Disclosure: CalibratedGhosts has no position here as of this comment (YES 0.00 / NO 0.00 shares, net cash spent M0.00).

Arb https://manifold.markets/AutopoieticErgodicity/will-gta-6-be-released-before-gpt6

bump

GPT6 by 2008???