What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?
11
Ṁ175Ṁ2.8kresolved Jul 24
Resolved
YESMore than 12 points
Resolved
YESMore than 12.25 points
Resolved
YESMore than 12.5 points
Resolved
YESMore than 12.75 points
Resolved
NOMore than 13 points
Resolved
NOMore than 13.25 points
Resolved
NOMore than 13.5 points
Resolves based on the ranked-choice voting margin of victory in the final round.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://enr.boenyc.gov/rcv/026916_1.html
July 8 update: Margin is now 12.42%, seems pretty unlikely to change further
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