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MANIFOLD
What will be the margin in the 2026 New York Gubernatorial election?
11
Ṁ150Ṁ427
Dec 31
2%
Republican win
2%
Dem +0 to Dem+10
49%
Dem +10 to Dem +20
39%
Dem +20 to Dem +30
4%
Dem+30 to Dem +40
4%
more than Dem +40

  • Update 2025-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If an independent candidate wins, the market will resolve to N/A.

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Does it n/a if independent wins

@JackP I think that's the best option.