This market predicts whether SpaceX's Starship Flight 10 will launch before Blue Origin's New Glenn Flight 2. As of July 3, 2025, Starship Flight 10 was initially scheduled for June 29, 2025, but experienced a testing anomaly on June 18, 2025, leading to an indefinite delay. New Glenn Flight 2 is targeting a launch no earlier than August 15, 2025. Resolution will be based on official launch dates from SpaceX and Blue Origin announcements.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX's Starship Flight 10 launches before Blue Origin's New Glenn Flight 2. The official launch dates will be determined based on announcements from SpaceX and Blue Origin, as well as verified reports from reputable sources.

Background

As of July 3, 2025, SpaceX's Starship Flight 10 was initially scheduled for June 29, 2025. However, a testing anomaly on June 18, 2025, involving Ship 36, resulted in an explosion during a static fire test, leading to an indefinite delay of the mission. (apnews.com)

Blue Origin's New Glenn Flight 2 is targeting a launch no earlier than August 15, 2025. This follows the inaugural flight on January 16, 2025, where the rocket reached orbit, but the booster was lost during the landing attempt. (blueorigin.com)