Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?

Question

Los Angeles will hold a mayoral election on 2 June 2026, and a runoff election on 3 November 2026 if no candidate wins a majority.

The current mayor, Karen Bass, is seeking a fourth term in office (LA Times).

This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins LA's mayoral election in 2026, and NO to everyone else.

Feel free to add answers.

Update 2026-01-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date has been updated to align with the actual election date(s).

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Karen Bass, followed by Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt are most likely. See the market for live updates (34 traders, as of May 9, 2026).

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