Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
67
αΉ655αΉ35kresolved Nov 5
100%99.0%
Xavier Becerra
0.0%
Eleni Kounalakis
0.0%
Betty Yee
0.0%
Rob Bonta
0.0%
Antonio Villaraigosa
0.0%
Katie Porter
0.0%
Alex Padilla
0.0%
Rick Caruso
0.0%
Tom Steyer
0.8%
Steve Hilton
0.0%
Chad Bianco
0.0%
Eric Swalwell
0.0%
Matt Mahan
0.0%
Zoltan Istuan
0.1%Other
Gavin Newsom is term-limited. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election
Resolves when the race is projected by a major news outlet or Dave Wasserman. Re-resolves in the rare event that an initial projection does not match official election results.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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