MANIFOLD
Which industries of the US stock market will outperform the SPDR S&P 500 Trust in 2025?
17
แน€1.8kแน€10k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
Aerospace & Defense (XAR)
Resolved
NO
Banks (KBE)
Resolved
YES
Biotech (XBI)
Resolved
NO
Capital Markets (KCE)
Resolved
NO
Health Care Equipment (XHE)
Resolved
YES
Health Care Services (XHS)
Resolved
NO
Homebuilders (XHB)
Resolved
NO
Insurance (KIE)
Resolved
YES
Metals & Mining (XME)
Resolved
NO
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services (XES)
Resolved
NO
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (XOP)
Resolved
YES
Pharmaceuticals (XPH)
Resolved
NO
Regional Banking (KRE)
Resolved
NO
Retail (XRT)
Resolved
YES
Semiconductor (XSD)
Resolved
NO
Software & Services (XSW)
Resolved
YES
Telecom (XTL)
Resolved
NO
Transportation (XTN)

The largest exchange traded fund (ETF) in the world is the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF. The SPDR launched in 1993 and is tracks the top 500 publicly-traded companies in the United States (i.e. the S&P 500). State Street Corporation, which manages SPDR, has also manages industry ETFs.

Which of these industry ETFs will outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?

This question resolves by comparing the YTD percentage growth of each fund at the end of December 2025 (e.g. as recorded on Google Finance) and resolving YES to the funds that grew by a percentage that is greater than the SPDR S&P 500 Trust's growth for the year (or if SPDR's growth was negative, then whichever ones lost less).

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bought แน€200 NO

It's a bit confusing due to the way that tradingview does charting (aligned at close of x-axis) but this does indeed reflect the same as the YTD figures from google finance, which does not allow displaying as many tickers at once. In any case information to resolve all markets can be found in here, on the right hand side displaying relative gain/loss in price; I crossed checked the figures against the ones from google.

Here's a subset of the google finance YTD tickers you can cross check against, you can see they have the exact same values under % change column.

bought แน€100 YES

@cash can we get these resolutions?

@Cactus Yep have confirmed the performances and resolved.

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