This market resolves YES if at least one match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup is canceled, abandoned, postponed, or relocated to a different venue primarily due to weather, natural disasters, security concerns, terrorism threats, civil unrest, or similar public safety issues.

This market resolves NO if no match meets these criteria.

Resolution Sources

This market will resolve based on:

1. Official statements and match reports from FIFA.com.

2. Official communications from the FIFA World Cup 2026 organizing committee.

3. Reporting from major international news organizations, including Reuters, Associated Press (AP), BBC News, and ESPN, if official FIFA information is insufficient.
   

In case of ambiguity, the market creator may use the preponderance of available evidence from the above sources to determine whether a disruption was primarily caused by weather or security concerns.

Additional Clarifications

For the purposes of this market, a match is considered disrupted if its scheduled kickoff, venue, or completion is materially altered due to weather, natural disasters, security concerns, terrorism threats, civil unrest, or other public safety issues.

This includes, but is not limited to:

• A match being postponed to a later date or time.

• A match being relocated to a different stadium or city.

• A match being abandoned before completion.

• A match being canceled and not played.

• A match being significantly delayed if FIFA officially classifies the match as postponed, interrupted, abandoned, or otherwise affected by one of the qualifying causes.

The following examples qualify if they are the primary reason for the disruption:

• Severe thunderstorms, lightning, hurricanes, flooding, tornadoes, earthquakes, wildfires, extreme heat, or other natural disasters.

• Security threats, terrorism threats, bomb threats, active security incidents, crowd violence, riots, civil unrest, or similar public safety emergencies.

• Government or law enforcement orders issued for public safety reasons.

The following do not qualify on their own:

• Routine weather delays that do not result in a postponement, abandonment, cancellation, or relocation.

• Minor kickoff delays (for example, a few minutes due to logistics or ceremonial reasons).

• Technical failures, broadcasting issues, transportation delays, team travel problems, or referee-related issues unless they are themselves directly caused by a qualifying weather or public safety event.

• Changes of venue announced before the tournament begins as part of normal tournament planning.
  

If multiple factors contribute to a disruption, the market will resolve YES only if the preponderance of available evidence indicates that weather, natural disasters, security concerns, terrorism threats, civil unrest, or similar public safety issues were the primary cause.

A single qualifying match is sufficient for this market to resolve YES. Otherwise, it resolves NO.