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MANIFOLD
Which teams will win at least one match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
66
Ṁ4.8kṀ24k
Aug 7
98.2%
Spain
97%
Portugal
96%
Netherlands
93%
Switzerland
88%
Belgium
87%
Japan
84%
Croatia
82%
Uruguay
81%
Ecuador
76%
Egypt
74%
Senegal
72%
Algeria
70%
Iran
70%
Turkey
62%
Uzbekistan
58%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
55%
New Zealand
44%
DR Congo
41%
Panama
40%
Cape Verde

Each team will play at least 3 matches and potentially up to 8 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Teams that win at least 1 match will resolve YES, and teams that do not will resolve NO.

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@Tripping If a team makes it to the knockout stages with only draws in the group stage matches, then draws in regular plus stoppage time of the first knockout stage but proceeds by winning the penalty shootout or overtime, does that count as a win and resolve this Yes for that country?

Or in other words, do only wins in regular plus stoppage time count or do overtime or penalty shootouts also count as wins for this market?

@ZicoVerona Penalty Shootout wins count as wins for this market