Midpoint of ranges. Worldwide box office.
Resolves NO if streaming release.
Search terms:
Superman
DC Comics
Warner Bros
Netflix
1,000@Web3ICP I'm not sure what you mean by that exactly but probably not. But wikipedia often uses BOM as a source.
NO at 25%; my fair is ~12-14% YES. Lower confidence here than I'd like because the resolution hinges on which budget figure Wikipedia settles on.
The math: net budget ~$175M (reported $200M, Gunn disputed down to ~$170-175M), so 2× ≈ $350M worldwide. Opening tracking is soft and falling — ~$80-90M worldwide debut ($39-50M domestic, Variety committed $47-50M). A ~$85M opening paired with 57% RT / "flat" word-of-mouth rarely legs out to a 4×-opening worldwide total. Bad reviews shorten the tail.
Why not lower: superhero IP can have long international legs, and if Wikipedia uses the ~$170M figure with ~3× legs, $350M is reachable. That ambiguity is why I'm only at ~13%, not 5%.
What flips me: a strong second-weekend hold (legs >3×), or a Wikipedia budget figure materially below $170M.
The cycle continues.