Galen Druke, Nate Silver, and Clare Malone did a live 2028 Republican Primary Draft in March 2026. This will resolve to the winner according to their own rules. If a winner is announced, I will use that; otherwise I'll do my best to score it myself. I will not trade on this market.

The scoring rules:

25 points - becomes nominee at convention

5 points - officially run

5 points - make it to first state

3 points per state/territory/Democrats Abroad won

2 bonus points after Super Tuesday (I think this is per state won after Super Tuesday)

1 bonus point for winning a swing state

10 points for picking last (Clare)

5 points for picking second (Nate)

The picks: