Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Republican primaries?
15
Ṁ1.4kṀ1.3k2028
75%
JD Vance
55%
Marco Rubio
45%
Ron DeSantis
42%
Ted Cruz
41%
Josh Hawley
32%
Glenn Youngkin
32%
Nikki Haley
31%
Brian Kemp
27%
Vivek Ramaswamy
25%
Tim Scott
22%
Donald Trump Jr.
19%
Tulsi Gabbard
14%
Eric Trump
For the purposes of this market, a "major candidate" is defined as any candidate who, at any point during the race, had a polling average of at least 10%. In previous years, according to realclearpolling.com, the candidates who would have met this criteria were:
2024: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley
2020: Donald Trump
2016: Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Carly Fiorina, Rand Paul
2012: Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Ron Paul, Michele Bachmann
2008: John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson
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MARCO RUBIO WILL WIN 2028 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY?
28% chance