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MANIFOLD
How many times will Trump be impeached during his second term?
20
Ṁ1kṀ3.9k
2027
1.1 times
expected
62%
Above 0
23%
Above 1
14%
Above 2
10%
Above 3
8%
Above 4
6%
Above 5
6%
Above 6
5%
Above 7
4%
Above 8
3%
Above 9

Impeached by the house, Senate conviction vote doesn't matter for this market

Market context
Politics
US Politics
Trump
Republican Party
Trump's Second Term
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Just to be perfectly clear: all options resolve NO if he’s not impeached?

@MachiNi Correct. The “above 0” option is equivalent to this market

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