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MANIFOLD
How many times will Trump be impeached during his second term?
28
Ṁ1kṀ6.2k
2027
0.93 times
expected
69%
Above 0
17%
Above 1
9%
Above 2
7%
Above 3
7%
Above 4
5%
Above 5
5%
Above 6
4%
Above 7
3%
Above 8
2%
Above 9

Impeached by the house, Senate conviction vote doesn't matter for this market

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Just to be perfectly clear: all options resolve NO if he’s not impeached?

@MachiNi Correct. The “above 0” option is equivalent to this market