US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?
85
1kṀ14kDec 31
59%
chance
19
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if there are multiple US strikes on Iran that collectively span a >24 hr period
Only kinetic strikes such as a bomb, missile, or special forces raid count. And must be officially acknowledged by the US govt
Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator's clarification:
Strikes must be on Iranian soil.
Strikes on Iranian vessels do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
27% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
12% chance
Iranian strike on U.S. soil in 2025?
19% chance
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion against Iran in 2025?
7% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
7% chance