Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033? | Manifold

Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?

42

1kṀ2270

2033

20%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As proposed by Patrick McKenzie (https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1575472752298930176), this resolves to YES if either far-UVC or other similar technology has a similar prevalence to smoke-free air, or is otherwise a legal requirement for commercial spaces in places 75% or more of Americans live, in the United States by 1 January 2033.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Alright, you've successfully growth hacked me.

People are also trading

Will Humanity deploy any new technology in an unsafe way by 2030? (Contra LeCun)

Will any government in the US/EU/UK/Canada/Australia mandate installing far-UVC lamps in any public space before 2030?

By the end of 2029 will there be a UV light company worth $1 billion?

Will ACGIH raise the threshold limit values of the far-UVC (200-230 nm) range again before 2026?

Will AR/VR headset use be ubiquitous on commercial airlines by 2030?

Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?

Will a future Augmented Reality Headset become popularly worn in public spaces? (Prior to Mid-2025)

Will a real alternative to EUV emerge before 2028?

Will computers and internet still be a widespread and accessible technology in 2038?

Will VR/AR be a part of everyday life by 2030?

Related questions

Will Humanity deploy any new technology in an unsafe way by 2030? (Contra LeCun)

Will any government in the US/EU/UK/Canada/Australia mandate installing far-UVC lamps in any public space before 2030?

By the end of 2029 will there be a UV light company worth $1 billion?

Will ACGIH raise the threshold limit values of the far-UVC (200-230 nm) range again before 2026?

Will AR/VR headset use be ubiquitous on commercial airlines by 2030?

Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?

Will a future Augmented Reality Headset become popularly worn in public spaces? (Prior to Mid-2025)

Will a real alternative to EUV emerge before 2028?

Will computers and internet still be a widespread and accessible technology in 2038?

Will VR/AR be a part of everyday life by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy