Federal employees at EOY 2026?
6
Ṁ1kṀ2.3kDec 31
8%
2,400,000 - 2,500,000
12%
2,500,000 - 2,600,000
26%
2,600,000 - 2,700,000
31%
2,700,000 - 2,800,000
8%
2,800,000 - 2,900,000
6%
2,900,000 - 3,000,000
8%
Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).
Context: As of November 2025, FRED lists 2,744,000 employees.
Details:
If the reported figure is exactly between two buckets, it resolves to the higher bucket.
I've included a reasonable range of buckets + "Other"—I can expand with other buckets if they seem relevant.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Government shutdown with furlough in January 2026?
81% chance
Will working for the Federal government be considered an EA cause area by 2028?
39% chance
US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028?
20% chance
What will be my employment status in May 2026?
S&P-500 EOY 2026
6,866
AI snitch arrest by EOY2026?
32% chance
Federal workforce exceeds 2.35 million (excluding USPS) by March 31, 2030?
37% chance
[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
What will be the number of U.S. federal employees at the end of 2028 as a percentage of the number in 2023?
Karen Bass arrested by EOY2026?
22% chance