
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
125
Ṁ1.8kṀ7.3k2028
67%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2027?
38% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
26% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2029?
64% chance
When will we see terrorism against AI?
Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
7% chance
By 2029, will there be a public "rogue AI" incident?
89% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2030?
66% chance
Will there be a highly risky or catastrophic AI agent proliferation event before 2035?
81% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
75% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
26% chance
Sort by:
@YaakovSaxon could you make the criteria a bit more precise? What counts as an "anti-AI terrorist incident"?
The background tweet seems to have been deleted. Mind to write it up it here?
@SlipperySloe I'm guessing it was this thread: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1626293663360774144.html
People are also trading
Related questions
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2027?
38% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
26% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2029?
64% chance
When will we see terrorism against AI?
Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
7% chance
By 2029, will there be a public "rogue AI" incident?
89% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2030?
66% chance
Will there be a highly risky or catastrophic AI agent proliferation event before 2035?
81% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
75% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
26% chance