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MANIFOLD
The Artemis mission will not take any human being to the moon in 2026
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@mods maybe reopen for 2026? it'll resolve yes though.

@XanLor do they have to land on the moon for a NO resolution, or is orbit sufficient?

@chrisjbillington landing

@XanLor thanks for the clarification. Do you want to reopen this market for trading, and set the close date to end of 2026?

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIdelevich/which-agencycompany-will-send-peopl?r=QmVuamFtaW5JZGVsZXZpY2g

Why wouldn't they? Do you mean like a delay of over four months? This seems massively overvalued to me tbh.

"to the moon" meaning landing on the moon (Artemis 3) or flying around the moon (Artemis 2)?

@dp9000 landing

People are also trading

Who will be the first Artemis astronaut to set foot on the Moon?
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1% chance
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1% chance
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Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
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Will Artemis III launch (with humans, destination moon) before 2027?
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