Resolution criteria

The 2028 U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028. The market resolves to whichever party the winning candidate is affiliated with at the time of their victory. Resolution will be determined by the official Electoral College results and the candidate's party affiliation as recorded by the Federal Election Commission and major news outlets.

Other

The "Other" category should only resolve yes if a candidate from a party other than Democratic, Republican, or Independent wins the presidency.

My Trading

I WILL bet in this market.

Further Criteria

If the election is disputed and there is no definitive answer by December 31 of 2028, it will be resolved at whatever point the FEC and major news outlets definitively state the answer. The result is solely based on the official Electoral College outcome. The national popular vote has no bearing on the market's resolution. In the event of an Electoral College tie where the election is decided by the U.S. House of Representatives, the market will resolve to the party of the candidate ultimately chosen by the House, based on the party affiliation at the time of that final selection. An 'Independent' candidate is a candidate who is not affiliated with any political party. The 'Other' category is for candidates affiliated with a recognized third party (e.g., Green, Libertarian) but not the Democratic or Republican parties. If the winning candidate (based on the initial Electoral College results) dies or is disqualified before the date the Electoral College officially casts their votes, the market will resolve to the party affiliation of the individual who is ultimately selected as President according to U.S. constitutional procedures and certified by Congress

• Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): There were two "Other" options created by mistake. The "Other" option without an information icon ("i" in a circle) will be resolved N/A (all bets refunded). Only the "Other" option with an information icon will remain active for trading and resolution.

• Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "Other" option without an "i" in a circle will resolve NO at the resolution date (not N/A as previously stated). Traders are advised to sell their holdings in this option. The creator has offered to refund losses incurred from selling this option below purchase price.

• Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "Other" option without an "i" in a circle will not be refunded as previously stated. The only trader in that option was a bot whose trade was cancelled, so no actual losses occurred and no refunds will be issued.