Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
59
Ṁ1.2kṀ18k2029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
60%
Democrats
39%
Republicans
1.1%
Other
Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.
Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president.
Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario.
Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other.
Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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