Will Anthropic's API uptime fall below 98% in 2026?
3
Ṁ1kṀ155Dec 31
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
According to https://status.claude.com/, we're currently at 99.1% uptime over the last 30 days.
I've written a script that queries https://status.claude.com/ once an hour, and will run it on my Raspberry Pi for the rest of the year. If the 30 day uptime for "Claude API (api.anthropic.com)" ever drops below 98%, this question resolves yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
The lowest 30-day uptime my script (running now for 5 days, due to a dumb bug overwriting older results prior to that) has recorded for the API so far is 99.05%.
Not that it's relevant to this market, but the product with the lowest min uptime so far is 'claude.ai' at 98.75%.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?
83% chance
Will Anthropic become profitable this year?
15% chance
Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?
45% chance
Anthropic 'falls behind' by July 2026?
10% chance
Will Anthropic reach 50 billion in ARR by the end of June?
73% chance
Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Will Anthropic's RSP security commitments (as of Oct. 28 2023) cause them to pause scaling for at least one month?
2% chance
Will Anthropic leave AWS in 2026?
5% chance
Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?
26% chance
Will Anthropic lose any of its cofounders by the end of 2026?
35% chance
