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MANIFOLD
Which teams will make it to the knockout stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110
แน€6.4kแน€150k
Jun 28
99.7%
Portugal
99.3%
Ghana
99%
Egypt
99%
England
99%
Spain
96%
Australia
95%
Belgium
93%
Paraguay
90%
Austria
88%
Croatia
73%
Cape Verde
70%
Algeria
62%
Senegal
55%
DR Congo
55%
Iran
49%
South Korea
34%
Saudi Arabia
34%
Uruguay
6%
Scotland
6%
New Zealand

32 teams will make it into the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World cup, and so 32 answers will resolve YES and all others will resolve NO. Countries that fail to qualify for the World Cup will resolve NO. Counties that get knocked out in the group stages will resolve NO. Countries that make it to the Round of 32 in the Knockout Stage will resolve YES.

The group stage begins June 11th and goes until June 27th.

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opened a แน€204 YES at 23% order

did @Yuna stop trading against me?

opened a แน€410 YES at 73% order

@bohaska No, I had stopped for different reasons. I'm back up now

@Yuna make some non-bot trades please

opened a แน€410 YES at 87% order

@Tripping

I'm curious, I don't think a non-api bet from a bot account gives you trader bonuses, right?

(I think Manifold should either give creators the option to block api taking orders and/or give them trader bonuses for api bets. The current setup seems schizo to me. So please don't hate the player - hate the game ๐Ÿ˜… )

@Yuna nope no bonus ๐Ÿ˜ญ

opened a แน€410 YES at 79% order

@Tripping sucks

filled a แน€680 NO at 1.0% order

@Tripping New Caledonia/Ukraine/Albania/Suriname/Republic of Ireland/Wales/North Macedonia/Slovakia/Romania all lost today/yesterday and have failed to qualify for the World Cup, and should all resolve NO.

@Tripping Poland/Kosovo/Bolivia/Italy/Denmark/Jamaica all lost today/yesterday and should resolve NO.

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