Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
221
1kṀ50k
2030
21%
chance

If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Only thing shocking to me is that it took a public cancer diagnosis to get manifold to price this somewhere closer to the realm of sanity

@gamedev if an aggressive cancer didn't cause manifold to update lower, then it would have been underpriced previously. Most people don't die of aggressive cancers

Biden is three years older, so he doesn't have to actually outlive Trump

more limit orders up

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 40% order

doubt it man

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy