Will Biden OR Trump die in 2026?
23
Ṁ1kṀ4.7kDec 31
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if either Joe Biden or Donald Trump are confirmed by consensus of credible reporting to be deceased by 11:59pm ET, December 31st 2026.
Resolves YES if both die.
Resolves NO if neither do.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
35% chance
Will Trump Die in 2026?
7% chance
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
33% chance
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
35% chance
Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Will Biden die before Trump
69% chance
Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
67% chance
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump pass away while serving their second presidential term?
15% chance
Who will die first, Joe Biden or Donald Trump?
Will Joe Biden outlive Donald Trump?
33% chance