Will Palestinian-led parties vote to establish or join Israel's next government?
16
Ṁ1kṀ2.3kDec 31
46%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at least one Palestinian-led party either formally joins the first government formed after the October 2026 election or votes in favor of its initial confidence vote.
Resolves NO if the government takes office without either happening.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@SpeaksForTrees Ra'am (United Arab List), Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, whether participating individually or as part of the Joint List.
People are also trading
Related questions
Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?
23% chance
Which of these parties will be in the next Israeli governing coalition?
Will the Likud win the next Israeli election
26% chance
Will anyone but Netanyahu be Isreali PM before the end of 2029
54% chance
Who will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
Will an Arab party be in the next Israeli coalition?
24% chance
Who will be the next Israeli Prime Minister?
What will be the results of Israel's next election?
Who will be Israel's next prime minister?!
57% chance
