Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
17
Ṁ150Ṁ3302027
11%
Reza Pahlavi
56%
Ali Khamenei
4%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
7%
Mojtaba Khamenei
23%
The paramount leader is whoever the de facto leader of Iran is, regardless of their specific job title. Currently this is Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus. I intend to go by a similar standard to the CIA World Factbook or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
30% chance
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
44% chance
Will they pull a Nasrallah on Khamenei by end of January 2026?
6% chance
Are we at peak Ayatollah-out for Jan 2026?
92% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
Khamenei out in 2026?
48% chance
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran when?
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
30% chance
Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by end of year 2026
26% chance
Will Ali Khamenei be out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30, 2026?
33% chance