Will Iran be a democratic republic or a constitutional monarchy my 31 December 2027
12
Ṁ100Ṁ4742027
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve Yes, Iran must transition to a democratically elected government under a presidential, semi-presidental, or parliamentary system, similar to the United States, United Kingdom, France, or Israel.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
32% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
35% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
61% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
64% chance
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
95% chance
State of Iran in 2030
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
42% chance
Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?
26% chance
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?