Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What will Labour's change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
5
Ṁ200Ṁ391
in 7 hours
-1,029 seats
expected
85%
Below - 1000
7%
- 1000 to - 801
4%
- 800 to - 601
1.9%
- 600 to - 401
1.2%
- 400 to - 201
1.2%
- 200 to 0
0.9%
Above 0

Resolves at (seats after - seats before). A negative resolution means that they lost seats, a positive resolution means that they gained seats.

Market context
Politics
UK Politics
UK
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Which party will win the most council seats in the May 2026 UK local elections?
Which party will have the most councillors in the UK after the 7 May 2026 local elections?
What will the Conservatives' change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
-487
What will the Liberal Democrats' change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
89
Will Labour retain control of Brent Council at the UK local elections on May 7 2026?
40% chance
What will the Green Party's change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
404
What will Reform UK's change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
1,466
How many seats will Labour win in the 2026 Senedd election?
15.6
Who will control the Worthing council after the 2026 UK local elections?
Who will control the Lewisham council after the 2026 UK local elections?
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 YES

What's with the negative sign on the numbers of seat changes?

@AlanTennant Negative if Labour loses seats overall

sold Ṁ29 YES

@Tetraspace ok, we can do it like that, I would have assumed "change" was unsigned.

At the start of April there are about 20,000 seats, around 5,850 are Labour, that's about 28% of the seats.

People are also trading

Which party will win the most council seats in the May 2026 UK local elections?
Which party will have the most councillors in the UK after the 7 May 2026 local elections?
What will the Conservatives' change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
-487
What will the Liberal Democrats' change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
89
Will Labour retain control of Brent Council at the UK local elections on May 7 2026?
-8% 1d40% chance
What will the Green Party's change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
404
What will Reform UK's change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
1,466
How many seats will Labour win in the 2026 Senedd election?
15.6
Who will control the Worthing council after the 2026 UK local elections?
Who will control the Lewisham council after the 2026 UK local elections?