If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour?
3
Ṁ1kṀ522029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
35%
Lucy Powell
Resolved
N/ABridget Phillipson
Resolves N/A for all people who didn't become deputy leader of the Labour party following the 2025 Labour Party deputy leadership election, and for the remaining option at whether the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour Party.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
42% chance
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
33% chance
If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
Will the winner of Labour's Deputy Leadership contest become Deputy Prime Minister within one year?
32% chance
Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?
Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?
60% chance
Who will be the next Labour Party leader?
Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election?
85% chance