
Who will be the next Turing Award Winner for research in AI/ML?
15
1kṀ34162028
1D
1W
1M
ALL
96%
2%
Ilya Sutskever
Note: It does not need to be the next Turing Award.
If no Turing Awards were given to ML people before the resolution time, I will extend it indefinitely.
If Turing Awards no longer exist, I am not sure how it should resolve. Any opinion?
Resolution: The market will resolve based on the official Turing Award announcement. If the award is shared among multiple winners, the resolution will be proportionally divided. For instance, if three individuals jointly win the award (like 2022 with Yoshua Bengio, Geoffrey Hinton, and Yann Lecun), each will be attributed 33.33% in the market resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
All of yall are betting on other. Who do you guys have in mind?
Please nominate the person, or comment and I can add the choice for yall
Related questions
Related questions
TIME 100 most influential people in AI 2025
Major AI research organization announces autonomous AI researcher?
13% chance
In 2040, who will Manifold vote as having had the most positive impact on the development of AI in the 21st century?
Will any ai/ml researcher win a nobel prize in 2025?
20% chance
Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?
79% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?
6% chance
Will a paper or report, with >=1 turing award winner as an author, suggest that an AI system is conscious, by 2025 end?
14% chance
Will an AI receive an IgNobel Prize in 2025?
29% chance
Will the 2025 TIME person of the year be related to AI in some way?
41% chance
Will someone from SERI MATS win a turing award by 2040
26% chance