Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038? | Manifold

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?

15

Ṁ1kṀ1.2k

2038

4%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky is the recipient of a Turing Award before the year 2038.

Resolves NO if 2038 begins and Eliezer Yudkowsky has not yet been the recipient of a Turing Award.

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