Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2025?

1kṀ14k

Dec 31

42%

chance

ALL

Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point before the end of 2025, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves YES.

Otherwise, it resolves NO.

If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.

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Tesla at $480 if there is no increase in SpaceX or XAI. Every $2 billion or so valuation increase in Spacex or XAI should give another billion to Elon net worth. Reduce the tesla share price needed by $2.

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