
Who will be the first half-trillionaire?
70
1.4kṀ23k2026
75%
Elon Musk
10%
7%
Mark Zuckerberg
3%
Jeff Bezos
3%
Sam Altman
1.3%
Larry Ellison
Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves to that person.
If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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