Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $100 on April 10, 2026?
95
Ṁ1kṀ23k
Apr 10
53%
chance
23

This market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of April 10, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Resolution Details:

  • Primary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO.

  • Secondary: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1

  • Data Point: The "Daily" value listed for April 10

  • Timing: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on April 10 but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning).

  • Note: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

reminder to all this settles to the spot price as listed on EIA which will post the morning after market close

@ShaneBo If the alternate FRED Series is used there will likewise be a delay - they update weekly and I think their latest is always 48 hours prior. You'd have to wait for the April 15 update to see a price for Apr 10.

@ShaneBo Note also that the secondary source that you list is actually something different - front month futures for May. Rather different prices than spot. Although I don't expect it to come up (EIA is pretty reliable in publishing data), I would have some complaints if it ended up being used to resolve this, which is specifically about spot prices on Apr 10, not the price of the May futures contract on Apr 10. I would suggest making the FRED series the secondary and just ditching the Marketwatch futures as a possible oracle for this market.

@BorisBartlog Yes am aware of this just shared for directional purposes as should generally be reflective of whether the spot price will be up or down relative to the previous day. I will be resolving via EIA

@ShaneBo @BorisBartlog In my description did my best to clarify it is the spot price not the futures price "Note: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price." and did again in my comment. BUT I should have put a note next to the market watch link reflective of it's intent. Will do so next time