Will Trump adjourn the Senate through Article II, Section 3, and then recess-appoint a Cabinet member?

Ṁ1.5kṀ8.6k

Jan 18

15%

chance

ALL

https://x.com/EdWhelanEPPC/status/1856800721397555264

https://www.nationalreview.com/bench-memos/will-trump-pursue-bonkers-plan-to-adjourn-both-houses-of-congress/

"Step 1: The Speaker of the House (presumably Mike Johnson) seeks to adjourn the House for ten days and requests the Senate’s consent to the House’s adjournment.

Step 2: The Senate refuses to provide its consent to the House’s adjournment.

Step 3: Trump adjourns both the House and the Senate for ten days (or maybe two years).

Step 4: Trump recess-appoints his Cabinet officers."

Update 2024-20-12 (PST): This market will remain open and not resolve NO until Trump leaves office, unless it resolves YES before then. (AI summary of creator comment)

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I should probably have specified "before X date" in the title. As-is, the title implies this market won't resolve NO until Trump leaves office

@SaviorofPlant can you extend date then?

@PaperBoy don't really see the point, this seems quite likely to resolve NO and if i leave it closed i will at least get a little bit of the liquidity back at resolution