MANIFOLD
Will Donald Trump attempt to suspend, delay, or reschedule the 2028 elections?
88
Ṁ1kṀ18k
2028
20%
chance

Resolves YES if Trump makes a serious attempt, as judged by me, to make the 2028 elections not happen as scheduled on November 7, 2028.

  • Update 2025-02-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Reschedule Clarification:

    • Reschedule includes any attempt to change the election date, including moving it to an earlier date in 2028.

Market context
Politics
US Politics
Trump
Trump's Second Term
Republican Party
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 8% order

@Gen I bought higher to get some skin in the game but this is my real expected % if anyone wants to oppose it

What if he schedules it to make it happen earlier in 2028?

@Ibozz91 I'll count that under "reschedule"

People are also trading

Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?
+4% 1d12% chance
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
71% chance
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will the 2028 election be free and fair?
-12% 1d48% chance
Will Donald Trump run in the 2028 United States presidential election?
15% chance
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?
75% chance
Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026?
96% chance
If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?
29% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected President in 2028?
2% chance
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
20% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third term?
3% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy