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MANIFOLD
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
58
Ṁ1kṀ81k
2027
8%
chance

same resolution criteria as https://manifold.markets/SG/all-millennium-prize-problem-solved except substitute "January 1, 2030" with "April 30, 2027"

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filled a Ṁ50,000 NO at 8% order

95% at least one is harder than early 2027 models can handle, 10% at least one is undecidable. I don’t think this is an interest rate market but I’ll take the bet.

@Sketchy ELI5 why would proving that one of them is undecidable not trigger the prize and or tick a box for this market?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen hmm is the millenium prize awarded for a problem that’s proven undecidable?

@Sketchy it isn't immediately obvious to me that it wouldn't be

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 35% order

@traders More orders up!

opened a Ṁ3,000 NO at 15% order

@traders Order up!