AI reliably resolves markets by 2029?
7
100Ṁ1992029
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for a YES resolution:
The AI's first response must be valid >98% of the time.
The AI should be able to produce a resolution for >85% concluded markets on Manifold.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2028?
32% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
45% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
59% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
82% chance
Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?
26% chance
Will an AGI resolve this market by 2100?
34% chance
Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
77% chance
AI market crash by the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?
83% chance
AI: >1% of US Stock Market (2030)
89% chance