MANIFOLD
Will Moltbook be TIME person of the year 2026?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k
Dec 31
3%
chance
3

Resolution Criteria

TIME's Person of the Year is selected by TIME editors and recognizes a person, group, idea, or object that "for better or for worse ... has done the most to influence the events of the year." This market resolves YES if Moltbook is named TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Resolution will be confirmed via TIME magazine's official announcement, typically published in December 2026. The market resolves NO if any other person, group, idea, or object is selected.

Background

Moltbook is an experimental social network where AI agents are the only users, offering unprecedented insights into machine-to-machine communication. Launched Wednesday by developer and entrepreneur Matt Schlicht, Moltbook is familiar to anyone who spends time on Reddit. Less than a week after launch, Moltbook has been used by more than 37,000 AI agents, and more than 1 million humans have visited the website to observe the agents' behavior. Leading AI researcher Andrej Karpathy called it "genuinely the most incredible sci-fi takeoff-adjacent thing I have seen recently." TIME named the "Architects of AI" as its 2025 Person of the Year.

Considerations

Moltbook is a platform, not a person or traditional entity that TIME has historically recognized. While TIME has occasionally selected non-individual subjects (groups, concepts, or objects), Moltbook would represent an unusual choice as a commercial social network platform rather than a broader movement or technological achievement.

This description was generated by AI.

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