This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year. It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
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@PierreS market: https://manifold.markets/PierreS/will-moltbook-be-time-person-of-the (I know you already know, since it's yours!)
@realDonaldTrump Im realizing my use of capitalization totally makes my comment look like it was written by ai haha.
@bens idk if there's a way to cleanly operationalize this. Definitely distinct from Gen Alpha though.
@Joshua How would this market resolve if the winner was Elon Musk and Teslas Full self driving feature
@Joshua 👍 I think of waymo and Uber as not making their own cars, so wondered if a car manufacturer would count as yes in that list. Thanks